Friday, July 29, 2016

Air Serbia to add $1 billion to economy in 2016

NEWS FLASH


Air Serbia is expected to add $1 billion to the Serbian economy in 2016 according to forecasts published by the UK-based global consultancy Oxford Economics today. Air Serbia is expected to provide 13.230 people with employment and add $210 million to the Serbian economy through its core operations including expenditures on fuel, maintenance costs and local Serbian suppliers. This includes 1.650 direct jobs at Air Serbia in Serbia, 5.450 indirect jobs supported by the airline’s procurement of goods and services and 6.130 additional jobs supported by staff spending their wages in Serbia. According to the study, Air Serbia is expected to carry almost 550.00 international visitors, predominantly from Europe and North America, to Serbia in 2016. The Oxford Economics report also noteas that Etihad Airways, which holds a 49% share in Air Serbia, will support 3.900 jobs through its operations in Serbia this year, which equates to an economic contribution of $45 million. In a statement, Air Serbia's CEO, Dane Kondić, said, "The contribution that Air Serbia makes to the national economy and the job market in Serbia cannot be overstated. As this research shows, we support thousands of jobs directly, through our airline operations, and indirectly, through the powerful domino effect that Air Serbia has on stimulating economic activity throughout the country". He added, “Our flights benefit many jobs in Serbia, such as the local suppliers we use for inflight catering, to the many industries that rely on business from air travellers, including hotels, restaurants and other tourism and hospitality-related sectors. “The Oxford Economics report clearly shows that Air Serbia’s role in improving air connectivity and growing inbound tourism creates important employment opportunities for Serbian nationals, and our aim in the years ahead is to build on this contribution”.

25 comments:

  1. opa, to je oko 2,5 posto ukupnog bruto socijalnog produkta. Nije lose. Mozda bi neki drugi koncept doneo i vise, ali neka odluka mora da se donese i sad je to ova.

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    1. Koji drugi koncept? Da KLM prebaci čvorište iz Amsterdama u Beograd? Jer od Ryana i Wizza se nećeš leba najesti.

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    2. Pa bre i po ovoj statistici vidis, da je 4/5 od turizma (mada ne veruj ni jednoj statistici koju nisi sam falsifikovao). Znaci sa povoljnijim putovanjem ka Srbiji, imalo bi vise turista i eventualno vise poslovnih mogucnosti, a dali ona ostala 1/5 bi bila manja, kad bi neko drugi ili neki drug koncept (dali druge kompanije nebitno dal LCC ili ne, ili bar ne politicki upravljena aviolinia sa nekim lokalnim emblemom) bio primenjen, verovatno malo. Ajde da kazemo, da bi se od tih 210Mio smanjio obrt za 20% a turisticki efekt povecao za 5%. Ipak bi bio veci doprinos sa druge koncepcije, jel taj propaganda efekt ima i svoju potencirajucu jacinu.

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  2. Didn't know that the visitors from the US make up 12%. Not bad, that's roughly about 66.000 people

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    1. Actually, don't forget that Americans of Serbian descent who don't have our nationality are registered as US tourists here.

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    2. So, what?! Should we care are the US visitors of Irish, Polish or African origin?!

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    3. Exactly, their descent is irrelevant as long as they spend their US-earned dollars in Serbia.

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    4. Ugh... according to you someone visiting his parents in Pozarevac is the same as a non-Serb deciding to visit the country? Yeah... sure.

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    5. And to add, in aviation industry, these guys are called VFR or ethnic travellers. Tourists are a different group.

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    6. @ anonymous 152....map says North America not US. That would include Camada and Mexico ( do not thonk that many if any from Mexico)

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  3. Yeah that's nice and all, but won't anyone consider the burden on Serbian taxpayers?!? How are they going to make it through this?

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    1. They will all starve to death. Without Air Serbia so deep in their pockets they would be all living the Norwegian life standard. Each and every Serbian taxpayer knows that if there is no meat on his table today (only bread and potatoes) it is because the government gave all the meat to Air Serbia.

      Satisfied?

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    2. I think he was being sarcastic ;)

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    3. So, for the sake of discussion, let's say that the BEG discount in 2015, roughly 20 million euros, was what you would consider to be burden on taxpayers (even though the lack of these funds just delayed BEG renovation for a year, nothing else).

      That's around 2.5 euro a year per capita. Guess you should feel entitled to travel JU for free for that kind of money...

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    4. Svejedno ovo su debelo naduvani podaci. Turisti u Srbiji jako malo trose osim par procenata poslovnih putnika. Par pljeskavica, karton piva i par dana u hostelu. Ako dodju kod babe i deke
      trose i manje. Ko ne zna nase Amerikance mogao bi da poveruje u ovo zestoko naduvavanje doprinosa. Niti obrnu te pare stevke i piloti tri puta no jednom. Nije resnje ekonomije Srbiji u turizmu vec u industrijskom izvozu sa zaradom. Ne Jura koja se razume u biznis prodaje pelena vec u ozbiljen domace firme na polju informatike.

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    5. "Ozbiljne domaće firme na polju informatike" su model sektora izvoznih usluga, a ne industrijskih proizvoda. Još uvek nema famozne fabrike čipova, koliko ja znam :)

      I svakako da su podaci čista aproksimacija i verovatno naduvani. Ali sigurno tu ima 200 realnih miliona BDP-a (to je ova core activity) i još bar toliko sa strane. Što nije loše za 20 miliona, zar ne...

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    6. Kada mu izvezes program to je proizvod a kada u radis obrade podataka i sl to je usluga. Posle mu prodajes usluge odrzavanja programa i sl. Razlikuje se organizacija rada.

      Lose je, 20 mil svake godine, a mali rast. Izvoz programa i usluga je veci znaci istog reda kao cvrsta zarada, a nema drzavnih ulaganja. Moze exYu da nam izvuce procenu od prosle godine doprinosa Air Serbie.

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    7. Proizvodnja tzv. intangible goods, odnosno nematerijalnih dobara (kao što je softver) spada u tercijarni sektor, tj. sektor usluga - a ne u sekundarni, industriju. Nema sumnje da se organizacija rada razlikuje, ali da znaš samo da se performanse cele softverske industrije vide samo u sektoru usluga - zato sam pomenuo i fabriku čipova, to bi spadalo u industrijsku proizvodnju.

      Nisam baš shvatio poruku ovoga 20 miliona svake godine, a mali rast. Rast čega je mali? I naravno da je svake godine, i doprinos GDP-u je svake godine, to je indikator koji prikazuje ekonomsku aktivnost u toku jedne godine, a ne nekakav stock ukupnog doprinosa.

      Moj komentar je da, ako ulaganje od 20 miliona dovede do milijarde novih aktivnosti, to je sjajan rezultat i kamo sreće da su svi takvi. Istina je da to ne donosi direktan profit Air Srbiji u tom iznosu, nije to ni tvrdnja, ali ako 3.000 ili 6.000 ili koliko god ljudi ima posao zbog toga... da li imate predstavu koliko je novca bačeno kroz subvencije javnim preduzećima u posednjih 20 godina? Zastava KG, Železnice, EPS, Srbijagas, Putevi... Air Serbia je, bukvalno, kap u moru. Niti 1% od ukupne sume subvencija. A nekako je baš trn u oku, iako je jedno od retkih profitabilnih JP, koje pravi i ozbiljnu dodatu vrednost, o čemu govori ova analiza... Još jednom, kamo sreće da su sve državne subvencije u ovom ili onom obliku bile onako uspešne kao ove u JU.

      Konačno, ne mogu svi da se bave IT-jem. Potrebne su vrlo specifične kvalifikacije za to. Prosto, aktiviraju se različite privredne grane, a uvek je mudro imati diverzifikovan portfolio, kako na mikro, tako i na makro nivou.

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  4. Anyone know why JU500 was delayed for a full hour today?

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    1. That is not even a delay. Will be caught up in-flight.

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    2. Looks like it arrived at JFK with 11 minutes delay. Not bad for leaving BEG ~59 minutes late.

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    3. Just like the return flight which departed an hour late and arrived on time. This is because the scheduled flight time was increased by an hour which is a bit too much. 45 min would have been more appropriate.

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  5. Air Serbia platila istraživanje, Air Serbia dobila pohvale. To je više PR nego istraživanje. Da svaka firma ovako napravi, dobio bi se utisak da je Srbija Švajcarska. Ne kažem da ne doprinosi. I dobro je da doprinosi. Bolje da zarađuje firma koja je 51% naša nego neki britansko-mađarski akcionari koji ne plaćaju ništa osim nužnih usluga u BEG.

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    1. To je isto kao kada FR otvori neki grad i onda krenu da pricaju kako ce zaposliti stotine ljudi i sta god.

      Ja sam siguran da kada bi W6 sproveo slicno istrazivanje rezultati bi bili podjednako super samo sto za razliku od JU, W6 je omogucio mnogima da putuju po prvi put. Ipak je leteci butik dosta skup za nase podneblje.

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    2. Omogućiti nekome da putuje po prvi put nije značajno iz aspekta ekonomske aktivnosti. Putnici koji više plaćaju su zapravo važniji. Ne kažem da tu nema socijalne komponente, ali isključivo iz ekonomskog ugla, to je irelevantno - posebno što su to ljudi sa prebivalištem u Srbiji, koji će svoj novac trošiti u inostranstvu i time čak možda i smanjiti srpski BDP (deo tog novca bi potrošili ovde).

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