Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Belgrade Airport aims for 5.5 million passengers


Belgrade Airport anticipates welcoming a record 5.5 million travellers this year, which would result in an average growth rate of 11% on 2016. General Manager, Saša Vlaisavljević, said, "We are marking 55 years since the airport's opening and we have big aspirations. The management's target is to handle 5.5 million passengers this year". So far in 2017, the airport registered 1.372.230 travellers through its doors, up 11.1% on last year. "In 2016 we handled a record number of passengers, received numerous awards, relaunched transatlantic flights and established cooperation with other airports in the country, as well as throughout the region. According to some estimates, over the next two decades we could reach up to twenty million passengers per year, which is four times more than what we have now", Mr Vlaisavljević noted.

However, the airport has also identified some possible risks for 2017 in its recently published financial report. It lists growing competition at airports across the region, as well as the development of air traffic at other airports in Serbia, which could "potentially result in the redirection of air traffic". During the first quarter Niš Constantine the Great Airport, which will be served by four different airlines this summer, handled 66.220 travellers. Further afield, Sofia Airport has seen its passenger numbers soar 47% during the first three months of the year, overtaking its traditionally busier counterpart in Belgrade, as the battle between low cost giants Wizz Air and Ryanair continues to rage in the Bulgarian capital. Furthermore, seasonality has been identified as an issue.

New carriers to have launched flights to Belgrade this year include Transavia and Atlasglobal, which will be followed by the stationing of a second Wizz Air Airbus A320 aircraft in the Serbian capital on May 19. As a result, four new routes will be launched and frequencies boosted on existing services. Greece's Ellinair will commence new flights from Thessaloniki this summer, while Air Serbia will introduce services to Venice. Unlike last summer, the Serbian carrier is maintaining flights to New York, Hamburg, St. Petersburg and Malta from the very start of summer season. Despite decreasing frequencies on several routes, the airline will maintain the same capacity on many of them during the height of summer with the rollout of its new higher-density cabins. In addition, Israeli carriers Israir and Arkia, which commenced operations to Belgrade last winter, are running five and three weekly flights each from Tel Aviv respectively, with the latter deploying the Boeing 757 aircraft on two of three of its weekly services. Meanwhile, easyJet, Lufthansa and LOT Polish Airlines have boosted capacity on their flights to Nikola Tesla Airport. On May 14 and 15, details of the HNA Group's planned service between Beijing and Belgrade are set to be revealed.

115 comments:

  1. I think this is a realistic estimate.

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  2. It will be interesting to see how the cuts at JU will affect the airport.

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    Replies
    1. JU recorded passenger growth during first quarter despite reducing its schedule.

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    2. What is Air Serbia's passenger share at the airport?

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    3. @ 9.05 JU cuts will certainly have an impact on BEG, but BEG will also have a full year of JFK flights, and BEG had more JU flights over the winter. So it should be a good year, especially if Hainan ends up flying too.

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    4. @ 9.16 around 52%.

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    5. Well a professional management wold work to attract new airlines to fill in the gap left by Air Serbia.

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    6. Well haven't they done that? Atalsglobal replaced Istanbul flights, more competition and choice to Amsterdam with Transavia, second Wizz A320 with more destinations... The suspension of Abu Dhabi by JU won't be felt because Etihad will increase capacity.

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  3. Bravo Srbija!

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    Replies
    1. post it after the @bravo Hrvatska@ guy so everybody gets the joke

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  4. Their numbers have been very good so far this year. With all these additional Wizz air flights, May should perform well too even if easter was on 1st of May last year.

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  5. Promising start to 2017.

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  6. I think it is more realistic that they have around 5.3 million and INI to have around 350,000.

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  7. As an aviation enthusiast I really like the current development at all the airports across the former Yugoslavia. Nice development and hopefully more good news to come for all :) Greetings from Zagreb.

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  8. So that would mean they plan an extra 600,000 pax on 2016. It's doable.

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    Replies
    1. For the 4 months they have 136882 extra passengers. So there is still work to be done.

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    2. Well numbers will see a considerable boost when Wizz Air bases its second A320.

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  9. It's all good news, the more the airports in the region develop the more developed it will be. Just compare it 10 years ago. BEG barely made 2 million, same as SOF. INI and SKP showed remarkable results too. Perhaps western Serbia and northern Serbia need developed airports too.
    Good luck BEG!

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  10. Well what I find interesting is that they finally recognize regional and domestic competition.

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  11. Qatar Airways will also increase frequencies to BEG from the end of September.

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    Replies
    1. How many weekly flights are they going to have?

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    2. It goes up to daily.

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    3. well that goes to halfway compensate the loss of a daily JU AUH service wich according to this forum had an average LF of 80%. In total that would make roughly 75.000 Pax. Unless those pax change to other services instead, the loss from the AUH cancellation will be huge.

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    4. Opet ti sa glupavim huge. Etihad ce slati vecu masinu za Beograd kad bude vise putnika. Razumes? Da nacrtamo? Bolje da raspravljamo moze li AS da iznajmi svoj a319 u vansezoni.

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    5. Etihad će da šalje A321 umesto A320. To, par puta A330 neće da pokrije razliku nastalu ukidanjem jednog A320 ili A319. Ipak će tu da bude manjak od 70-80 sedala dnevno u jednu stanu ili preko 50.000 putnika godišnje

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    6. Zabrinuti susjed, na srpskom se kaže "sedišta" a ne "sedala".

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  12. Da li neko zna :
    1) Kako će izgledati nove konfiguracije kabina u 319 i 320 Air Serbia ?
    2) Kada će početi preuređenje kabinskog prostora aviona, odnosno od kada će Air Serbia početi da prodaje veći broj mesta na svojim letovima ?

    Izvinjavam se ako sam nešto već objavljeno pitao.

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    Replies
    1. Ne znam detalje ali mislim da već sledećeg meseca će prvi Airbus imati nova sedišta.

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  13. What is also important is how the summer charter season will perform this year. Anyone in the know? Are there more flights planned than last year? I guess Turkey should come back after the coup last year.

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  14. I always wondered if BEG was that successful because until recently it had little to no competition.

    I am happy that INI is waking up as it will force BEG to become more competitive and to think of new ways to remain relevant.

    It was easy to achieve such profits when airlines and passengers had little choice. I am sure that if the road network to Romania was any better, TSR would have been an even greater problem for them than INI is.

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  15. I heard that AC is considering starting BEG with 3 weekly flights next year from YYZ, that would be a nice addition!

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    1. Of course it is ;)

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    2. Don't know about BEG, but ZAG will be their first choice, they should replace Air Transat, the route proved to be more than successful.

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    3. You do realize that Air Canada and Air Transat are not the same company so AC can't just replace them. What it can do is launch its own flights hoping Transat would pull out.

      That said, I don't think AC will be launching either one of the two cities.

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    4. Air Serbia made it clear they won't expand long haul any time soon, so the opportunity is there for others. Hainan is expected to launch PEK-BEG and Air Serbia would like to codeshare. Same approach could work for YYZ.

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    5. They will start to fly to BEG same day as Emirates. As far as I understand "well informed" here guarantee that they will announce Dubai-Belgrade flights in April. Now is May. What went wrong? :-)

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    6. AC has no interest in BEG, as stated previously even on here.

      AC Rouge on the other hand is investigating BEG but has not made any decisions. Their product is perfectly suited for B2B services.

      Air Transat also said no to BEG for now, concentrating on ZAG and BUD in the region.

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    7. AC Rouge would be fantastic esp if Air Serbia can help them with regional feed not available through JV partner LH. AC Rouge 767 seats are better than Air Transat narrow seats but clearly not as comfy as mainline AC 767.

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    8. Nice
      1. Emirates
      2. Air Canada Rouge

      and than you will wake up, or you will still dream about Delta, Qantas, ANA...

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  16. Even more importantly, their net profit increased 3% during the first quarter to 4.1 million EUR.

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  17. Great news for BEG.

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  18. what is the source of this 14% growth?
    what were the additions? 2015 and 2016 had much more modest growth of about 3%

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    Replies
    1. Air Serbia which didn't cull it's winter schedule like it did in winter of 2015/16. There were also more flights by foreign airlines.

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  19. OT:
    what is the number of handling agents at BEG?

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    Replies
    1. 3
      -Air Serbia Ground Handling Service
      -Belgrade Airport ground handling
      -Sky Partner

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    2. How come ZAG has only 1 ground handler and it is over 2M pax - which by EU regulations states there must be at least 2 ground handlers ?

      No wonder their fees are extortionate because the govt keeps a monopoly situation.

      Purger, do you have any info on this ?

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    3. Alen Šćuric PurgerMay 4, 2017 at 12:08 AM

      They should have, by rules of EU, at least 2 handlers, but they don't. Same thing is in Split, who should also have at least 2 handlers.

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  20. Air Serbia April final : 207K pax (+11%), ops -2,5%, LF 73,3% (+7,7%). JFK LF 85%.

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    1. That's a pretty good result even with lower ops.

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    2. Those're some excellent figures! I'm actually quite taken aback by the 11% increase in pax. Didn't expect that at all.

      Well done JU!

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    3. In all honesty, Easter had a major impact on those figures.

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    4. Of course, JU is the only airline in the world that benefits from Easter holidays.

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  21. With 46 weekly cuts on Air Serbia
    + just few JFK flights in October because of maintenance
    + huge cuts that are planed in winter time table (Abu Dhabi is just a start)
    + new cabin will be introduce after top season, so there will be no extra capacity

    Even with 2nd Wizz plane, Transavia and AtlasGlobal there are 10 less flights per week all together.

    There is no chance that Belgrade will have more than 2-3% increase of passengers number in top season, and there will be huge decrease in winter.

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    1. Insider - sviras onu stvar ....

      New cabin reburb at JU starts next week and will be finished by Jun 10 - so all aircraft will have new seats with significant increase in capacity in time for the season, not after

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    2. OK we will see. Even if so it is not even near to delete effect of decrease 46 weekly flights, what is more than 40.000 seats less per month. New seats will bring 18.000 more seats, compare to 40.000 that will be lost by 46 weekly flights cut.

      Where was I wrong in information till now? But I publish here some information that latter were announced as true. They were shock here, most of reader made fun from it, but letter they were cold shower.

      BEG will have decrease of passengers from June, maybe around 0, but for sure not more than 2% plus at the end of the year.

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    3. any news on Boeings' engines and Neos?

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    4. So insider your information is true but your math isn’t.

      Most of the flights canceled are due to not having bombardier CRJ this summer. It is 88 seater plane. It had 19 weekly rotations last summer so it is a capacity of 19*2*88=3344 seats per weak.
      Of the others we can calculate 20 rotations that were performed with a319 and 1 with a320 (Paris) so there we have 2*20*128+2*1*155=5430 seats per week.
      And the rest of 6 rotations were performed with ATR which is 2*6*66=792 seats per weak.

      That is a total of 9566 seats per week. (Reduction in Air Serbia)

      For the additions:

      14 weekly rotations of Wizz air with a320 that is 2*14*180=5040 seats per weak.
      7 weekly rotations of Atlasglobal with a320 that is 2*7*164=2296 seats per weak.
      2 weekly rotations of Transavia with 737-700 that is 2*2*149=596 seats per weak.
      2 weekly rotations of Elinair with 737-300 that is 2*2*148=592 seats per weak.
      5 weekly rotations of Israir with a320 that is 2*5*174=1740 seats per weak.
      3 weekly rotations of Arkia, 2 with b757 and one with e190 that is 2*2*265+2*1*100=1260 seats per weak.

      That is a total of 11524 seats per week. (Added capacity by other carriers)

      Not to mention that reduced capacity is from routs with low load factor like Istanbul, Varna, Kiev so load factor on those routes was probably lower than 60% and the load factor for added routs would be closer to 80%.

      So it is close to 2000 more weakly seats available and the capacity actually increased and not decresed.

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    5. Kiev was nowhere near 60% but was well above 70's %LF.

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    6. Let me save you from the assumptions and math guys. According to the announced schedules, BEG will have 4.68M seats from May until end of December, while in 2016 4.54M seats have been offered during the same period. That indicates 3% increase in capacity. Cabin overhaul can increase the capacity but we don't know how the recently introduced c-in fee or other "boutique minded" policies affect JU sales. In addition there's the risk of transfer passengers decreasing more than the flights cut, due to the inconvenient connectivity. Considering the new overlapping and leaking routes (such as MLA), there isn't much left for optimism in BEG. The only positive news is that growth in INI is still within acceptable limits for BEG, (250k announced capacity during May-December, 130k same period last year). Double digit annual growth is highly unlikely but a modest growth of 5% is in range (if there's no more negative development on EY group or unexpected cancellation of JFK route by end summer).

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    7. Racunao si chartere?

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    8. Naravno da nije ... pusti eksperti na izracanaju svoje brojke jer nemaju sta drugo da radu....

      Let's come back to this conversation when the year is out - only then will the discussion have any real merit or basis.

      Much can change between now and the end of the year

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  22. easyJet boosted capacity? I didn't read anything about it, how? Upgraded to A320 or added more weekly flights?

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    1. They added a third weekly in mid February and then increased the route to an A320.

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    2. Great, thanks! It's a pity they don't introduce more routes here. I flew them in AUG14 to FCO and JAN15 to MXP, great experience.

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  23. Zad ovoljstvo je posmatrati rast Beogradskog i svakog drugog aerodroma. Medju tim pravi bum razvoja, povecanja putnika i kargo prevoza, povecanje broja prevoznika i vazduhoplova. Tek zapocinje dolaskom koncesionara na Nikolu Teslu.
    Profesionalni menadzment ce poboljsati nacin upravljana svih investiranih i ljudskih potencijala koja budu ulozena u razvoj. Gotovo svece se transformisati. Ukljucujuci i domacu Air Serbia. Ona ocigledno se vec transformise i priprema za novu flotu i modifikovan, sofisticiraniji nacin poslovanja prema agresivnom, realnom trzistu. Bez novca poreznika. Da ponovo, kao i uvek dodam ukljucivanje Morave i Ponikva u putnicki avio saobracaj Srbije. Jedna od osnovnih stvari koje pocinju da se primenjuju, jeste fleksibilnost politike i ozbiljnom okretanju, realizovanju vazduhoplovne mreze Srbije. Koncesija, profesionalnost i politicka podrska u razvoju vazduhoplovne infra strukture. Sto i jeste cilj drzave Srbije. Svakako da je mir najpotrebniji. To vazi za sve. Sigurno da ce srbija mnogo snaznije razvijati u avijaciji. Ni drugi ne stoje. Samo napred.
    Iz jesenjeg Sidneja, pored buduceg Western Sydney Airport,
    Iskreni pozdravi. Rodney & Aviation Entusiast.

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  24. Nice but I still don't get why are they investing so much money into improving the airport if it is going under concession and the new operators will probably be obliged to invest themselves.

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    1. When will the runway overhaul begin?

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  25. The airport's main competitor probably at the moment is Sofia. Passenger numbers at SOF are usually stronger during 1Q and they even out later in the year. But LCCs will continue to expand in Sofia so Belgrade needs to find the right answer to this.

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    1. What do they compete exactly for? Whose statistics look nicer?

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  26. They need to start thinking of diversifying their offer now. I'm glad Transavia has started flights. The real jackpot will be if the flights to China start. That would be impressive and make them more competitive.

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  27. I think at the moment they are in the best position from other ex-Yu airports which have been put up for concession in the last few years. So hopefully the outcome will be positive.

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  28. How many extra passengers could Wizz Air bring this year?

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    1. In total they are selling 642,000 seats from/to BEG this year.

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    2. I think their Malta flights will really affect Air Serbia on the route. Like it did Larnaca.

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    3. Not necessarily, JU was killed in LCA because of their times. Their Malta ones are quite decent.

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    4. With better times of their flights in and out of LCA they could have really used the Cyprus market and connect it with the rest of its network through BEG.
      SMFH with some of the management's choices...

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    5. Wizz Air moved their departure from 06.20 to 06.50 becoming even more appealing.

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  29. 5.5 mil in 2017 is in the realm of possibility.

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  30. OT: Lufthansa at ZAG with A321 from FRA and MUC, today

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    Replies
    1. Where else?

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    2. - also, KLM from Amsterdam to ZAG used 737-800
      - also, Monarch from LGW decided to use 3xA321 instead of 2x321 and 1x320

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  31. Results are good so far this year.

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  32. Zelim sve najbolje za BEG, ali realisticno je samo nesto malo jace od 5mio ove godine. airSerbia ima previlik CUT.

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    1. drugi ce nadoknaditi taj CUT

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  33. Belgrade airport will keep its pax record for many years in ex-Yu as the Croatian Civil Aviation as well.

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  34. Belavia added a third weekly flight to Belgrade on Wednesday evening.

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    1. Good. Does it still go via Budapest?

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  35. OT: for all those in panic mode, afraid of Air Serbia turning into LCC mode, you need to catch up on news:

    http://cnnmon.ie/2oViU0a

    http://cnnmon.ie/2oX1TCN

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    Replies
    1. AA is also re-introducing free meals on some of its domestic routes so it's not all bad.

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    2. Sorry but I can't see how two wrongs can make a right. JU is currently downgrading itself from the higher league to plain mediocre and I don't see great news in the fact that this is where many other legacy carriers already are.

      Since they are now mediocre, I may as well switch back to any other European legacy out there. Or let me put it this way: JU was my preferred choice and from now on I will choose it if I have no choice.

      And that is something the AA story won't fix.

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    3. exactly..they are droping the service but not the prices...so it at the end there wont be any big difference between LCC and Air Serbia..only in price (BEG to TIV/ZAG/TGD/OTP/SKG are 120/130/140eur instead of 59/69/79

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  36. These Belgrade prediction by management and ministers seem to be the over 5 million mark kiss of death.
    My prediction - 4999999.

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  37. If AZ goes bust will JU stop flying to FCO? After all JU feeds AZ network. I think that EY will stop flying to BEG and open more European routes for JU. Just an opinion.

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    1. None of those two will happen. EY will increase capacity to BEG this winter to A321 and then A330 next summer. There are a lot of P2P passengers between Rome and Belgrade. Why on earth would they suspend the route?

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    2. Anon 3:44 are you trolling with us or what?

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  38. Love these posts... so much passion and enthusiasm... competition and cheering for different airports and airlines, like a good and healthy football match... aviation is alive and kicking in ex-YU, really nice to see!

    So much has been said about EK and ZAG - now happening in June, and also the real potential for BEG flights as well from DXB.

    Without going into much detail, BEG is on the cards, when - maybe sooner then you think. A332 retirement has pushed the launch from original plans, but BEG is on the radar, 77W, daily, and JU's exit from AUH, QR's neo troubles and EY's capacity shortfalls all make the case stronger - stronger! Not a done deal by any means, but chances are the best they have ever been till now. Market is there and cannot be captured by FZ at present and with their product, similar case to ZAG. Stay tuned and keep discovering!

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    Replies
    1. What was the original plan for EK in BEG? (I just know about the Venice one, all other rumours were so far BS)

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    2. Interesting post. Thanks for your opinion. I also agree that the MEB3 bubble is about to explode sooner or later. You forgot to mention the EK cuts to US as that was the only way to "punish" Gulf carriers and defend US ones. Lets see how EK performs in ZAG.

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  39. A link with VCE was evaluated in 2008, so was a BUD link 3 years ago. Both returned negative.

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  40. BEG - JFK trip report
    http://www.iamella.com/direct-flight-from-belgrade-to-new-york-with-air-serbia/

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    1. I'm wondering if this was a paid thing...

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    2. Why is every single trip review of JU considered a 'paid thing'? Everyone has written positively about their long haul experience with the airline. Has anyone ever considered thaf it actually is good. It even says in the review it took a month to plan the trip.

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    3. Anon @7:45

      You are right. Balkan mentality.

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    4. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    5. Of course it is paid! She even features in inflight mag!

      Good, biased review leading to no value for an average customer.

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    6. Here this guy only travels based on miles. It's a very popular site.

      http://onemileatatime.boardingarea.com/2016/11/14/air-serbia-business-class-review/

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    7. Amazing how some people think this was not a paid advertisement. There was not a single negative point in the whole blog. As BA888 said above, she is also featured in the inflight magazine.

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    8. So those who had a bad experience are also free to post their comments - no one is preventing them frm doing so.

      Like everything in life airline related - some will have good experiences while others will have bad experiences.

      If you think that the experience will be bad and that these posts serve no purpose or point, then don't fly with JU - simple as that.

      Why get so worked up about it and analyse things to the nth degree ?

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    9. I had a good experience with JU on a couple of occasions so I am not really going against anyone here. However, reading this trip report felt exactly the same as if reading some government propaganda. Maybe not a best comparison, but just my observation.

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    10. We should maybe now introduce the term of 'influencer marketing'...

      But I doubt the aduience and its too late...

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  41. Can MLA become a top destination soon? Demand has grown dramatically from/to BEG.

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  42. OT: Sarajevo April 79,796 +17,20%
    Sarajevo new terminal, 20 million Euros project to be completed in 2018:
    https://static.klix.ba/media/images/vijesti/170503033.1_xl.jpg?v=1

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  43. Nadam se da ce biti jos novih letova i da ce brzo poceti letovi za Kinu koji bi doneli jos vise novih putnika BEG.
    A takodje da salju neke kompanije wide body Avione .
    INN-NS

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