Air Serbia is gearing up for its biggest expansion to date with the introduction of 22 routes in the coming months. However, the carrier sees more room for growth and notes that had it been able to forecast such strong winter season results, it may have expanded even more aggressively this summer. In an interview for EX-YU Aviation News, Air Serbia’s CEO, Jiri Marek, said, “A lot of our summer routes were formerly either charters or were leisure driven. Obviously, the booking profile for leisure routes is completely different from the rest. Routes like Naples, Catania and Greek islands are ones where tour operators book block capacity for groups, so we sell those flights very quickly. From that perspective, Izmir was very interesting because we haven’t had so many charter flights there before. However, we were surprised by how well it was working, and it was one of the first destinations that was booked out not only by groups but also by individuals, including the feed from the network. A lot of those leisure destinations are working very well. We are seeing strong demand even on our latest addition, Lisbon, where booked load factor in April was 25% within one week of tickets being on sale”.
Return to Budapest
Commenting on the carrier’s decision to return to Budapest after several years with a high number of frequencies, which will reach seventeen weekly flights during the summer, Mr Marek explained, “The airline was totally different when this route was last operated. Since we are now putting focus on regional connectivity, we believe that the network size we have already achieved has some kind of self-sustainable effect, that whenever we open a new regional destination, we have a variety of travel options to offer and that we will create some kind of base load demand. It is not natural that an airline with our ambition does not serve Budapest. Yes, it is heavily penetrated by LCCs, amassing over 100 destinations, however LCCs are typically operating few frequencies hence it is logical that our strategy on the Budapest route should target connecting traffic”. Mr Marek added, “Our biggest competitor will be the Lufthansa Group, namely Austrian Airlines, and we see a lot of similarities on this route with Zagreb. It is a destination which can also be easily reached by car, however, travelling to Budapest is much more challenging than to Zagreb due to border crossing queues and control in the summer which can take up to several hours. Our primary goal is not the point-to-point market because once the fast-speed train [between Belgrade and Budapest] is established it will become the most convenient travel option. However, at the moment, the heavy schedule is there to have perfect connectivity and point-to-point is pure increment. We decided to go heavy because there is no reason why Budapest should not work and develop as well as our Zagreb route”.
Middle East network
Commenting on the airline’s limited presence in the Middle East, with flights to Tel Aviv to resume this summer season following a three-year hiatus, Mr Marek said, “Looking at our ambitious growth plans and fleet plans you get to the point that you are placing your resources where you believe you will have the highest return. Beirut will most likely be the next to be considered but, at the moment, we have many other destinations on the priority list before we return to Beirut. That market is not what it used to be before we stopped flying there. Even before Covid, there were a lot of financial issues [in Lebanon] and we were relying very heavily on transfers from Scandinavia and Western Europe, like Paris, for example. However, if you see that we are flying year-round twice daily to Paris and we are looking at the option of increasing it to eighteen weekly or even triple daily flights in the summer, we lack capacity and if we introduced Beirut, we would not have enough seats. Due to high transfer share on the Beirut route, achieved yield would be lower and would jeopardise our point-to-point passengers on the Paris route. Beirut will be a nice addition, but we will first need to densify the European network which is performing well and currently achieving a high load factor. Beirut never had strong point-to-point traffic. Our growth prioritises routes with higher point-to-point demand”.
Future expansion
Air Serbia’s CEO noted that there is potential for more new routes in Europe on the horizon. “Our priority will now be switching towards more densification in Europe. We will densify our network in the whole of Europe and the region. There are still a couple of routes we are looking at in Europe, but I would not disclose them just yet. As a hint, the new routes might be outside of our current bank structures so we might start to create additional banks, for example like our flight to London, within this wave of departures. The routes we are looking into involve longer flying time. Maybe some of them will come as early as next year. However, I would not rule out even earlier introduction”, Mr Marek concluded.
This has Dublin and Manchester written all over it... Bratislava, Cluj and Iasi...
ReplyDeleteMAN and DUB crossed my mind as well... cannot comment on others as I am not familiar with those markets.
DeleteI think OSI or BJY
DeleteYear round to Croatian coastal airports. Belgrade offers better connectivity than ZAG.
DeleteSeriously dude?
DeleteWinter Costal Croatian cities will work for they ATR planes daily or even double daily.
DeleteBarcelona is full of tourists in the winter. Norther Europeans coming to the south to warm up.
Croatian coast can be the same.
However I would only start with ATRs and only Dubrovnik and Split in the beginning
Timisoara and Tuzla
Delete"There are still a couple of routes we are looking at in Europe, but I would not disclose them just yet. As a hint, the new routes might be outside of our current bank structures so we might start to create additional banks, for example like our flight to London, within this wave of departures. The routes we are looking into involve longer flying time. Maybe some of them will come as early as next year. However, I would not rule out even earlier introduction”,
ReplyDeleteWhich ones could this be? Caucuses? UK? Tenerife?
The way he said it, Tenerife was the first destination that was on my mind.
DeleteAnd it would make sense to launch that one in winter too.
Deletehe said they are looking at Maribor or Graz.
DeleteThe bit about Beirut makes complete sense.
ReplyDeleteWell at least we know it will come next in the Middle East. Although they seem to have other priorities.
DeleteWhy no Amman? It could work better than Beirut maybe with better yields.
DeleteThey put it on sale last year and then cancelled it so the sales were probably unsatisfactory.
DeleteSurprising. Although Covid was still very much present at the time they were selling Amman.
DeleteBravo Air Serbia 🇷🇸🇷🇸🇷🇸
ReplyDeleteThey are thinking about 18-21 weekly to CDG. Wow nice!
ReplyDeleteNot surprised, it is a very busy route.
DeleteI'm assuming that the third daily flight would be around midday departure from BEG.
DeleteJU's 3rd daily rotation to CDG was scheduled in 2020 departing BEG at 16,05.
DeleteFantastic to see that Lisbon is doing so well. I think it will turn our like Barcelona.
ReplyDeleteSeems like the new expansion will pay off like last year.
DeleteIntroduce A321 for SVO, ZRH, CDG….
ReplyDeleteThe LCA-BEG that arrives on Sundays at 16.10 could easily fill an A321. That flight is constantly full.
DeleteIts way too early to look at A321's. Only once a decent amount of A320's are in the fleet should they think about the A321, as the jump from A319 to A321 is massive. When they eventually do have a decent A320 fleet count, the A321 could maybe be great additions as wet leases for the summer season. But frequency is key and it's always better to boost frequencies than capacity to remain competitive. I would say that regional jets would be a better investment than A321's, as it's a type that is much more needed, a type they could have in decent numbers and a type that will help them return to previously served markets (GVA, WAW, HEL) as well as better serve a few existing routes (OTP, LJU, HAJ, SZG, PRG).
DeleteCDG is a route they need to boost frequencies on and not capacity on existing frequencies. Better to serve it at 21 pw than to boost seat count. Same with ZRH where they have heavy competition with LX who increase frequencies the moment JU does.
Reykjavík?
ReplyDeleteI don't think there would be enough demand. Very small Serbian diaspora and Iceland is extremely expensive as a tourist destination. Almost no business links either.
Delete"had it been able to forecast such strong winter season results, it may have expanded even more aggressively this summer. "
ReplyDeleteNice. Can't wait to see which ones will be next.
What do you think of the A330 on European routes? That will be very nice!
ReplyDeleteIt's not impossible!
They have used it last summer on a few routes on occasion.
DeleteLast summer it was send from time to time to Barcelona, Zurich and Istanbul I think.
DeleteThey use the A330 regularly to Moscow.
DeleteBCN last summer wasn't time to time on the A330, it was actually scheduled at once a week (on Sundays) on the A330 for 2-3 months.
DeleteTalking of Barcelona, I know someone who flew on Wizz Air BEG-BCN this Monday and he said the A321 was full to the last seat. Makes you wonder who is traveling so much with them.
DeleteA330 has not flown to SVO in the past 3-4 weeks.
DeleteI think it is because 1 A330 is undergoing maintenance in IST and the other is busy flying JFK and TSN.
DeleteBarcelona is this type of city with so much demand anytime of the year. You may never get enough of it. There are so many events it is ideal for families, couples, solo travellers, especially LGBT, football fans, mobile congress, Costa Brava is divine in summer but also has very cheap resorts such as Salou. Flights from BCN to the rest of Spain are quite cheap and you can take 3 high speed trains to Madrid in less than 2h30min.
Delete@15,40
DeleteARB is banned by the lessor from operating into and over Russia.
ARC, which can operate to Russia, is in Istanbul on maintenance.
Fantastic. Smart idea to work on increasing frequencies on existing routes but also good seeing that more new routes will come.
ReplyDeleteIt seems like a new round of expansion might come sooner rather than later.
ReplyDeleteNot a single word on INI and KVO....
ReplyDeleteThey tried to grow out of INI this winter and the results were atrocious.
DeleteBelgrade Airlines
Delete^ Yes, your comment really makes sense considering they have 8 routes from Nis in summer and 3 from Kraljevo.
DeleteBelgrade generates roughly 45% of the country's GDP. Novi Sad area around 11.5% so combined the two have around 56% of the country's economic activity.
DeleteNisavski District generates roughly 1.7% so less than Branicevo or Macva, two markets that gravitate towards BEG.
When economic activity in the south improves, so will the offer from INI. KVO on the other hand is located in a wealthier region of the country but it's handicapped by the runway.
Εconomic activity in the south will improve when the area stops being overlooked.
DeleteOverlooked by whom exactly? They have been in a better position than Western Serbia yet they constantly underperform when it comes to the economy.
DeleteIn addition to having a better highway network, an airport with more flights... they still generate less wealth than all of Western Serbia.
Ravnomerni regionalni razvoj, Nemje, are you familiar with the concept?
Delete@09,16
DeleteOut of curiosity, what exactly do you think is feasible from both INI and KVO? 3 carriers in the past 5 years have pulled out of INI-ZRH, FR just pulled out of BGY-INI despite full loads. KVO is useless with it's runway in poor condition and without fuelling which severely limits operations. What exactly is JU neglecting?
Равномерни развој нигде не постоји јер није изводљив. Југ нека се запита зашто генерише тако мало капитала, мање него Борски, Браничевски или Мачвански округ. Ако они могу онда не видим зашто и Нишки не би.
DeleteExcellent news
ReplyDeleteThey are really on a roll
ReplyDeleteGood approach. I just hope the fleet development can keep up with the route development.
ReplyDeleteLet's see if it involves more destinations in the UK.
ReplyDeleteThey still haven't scheduled a lot of the the frequency increases for this summer. They better get a move with it.
ReplyDeleteGood to see that they will develop new departure waves. The ones that they have are getting very busy and the airport very crowded at those times.
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteImpressive
ReplyDeleteHope BUD works out.
ReplyDeleteInteresting that BUD was put into focus at a time when they reduced their presence there. If I remember well they initially scheduled it as 15 weekly. First week of operations was reduced to 10 flights while the week after it is down to just 8 weekly.
ReplyDeleteSince the CEO mentioned Austrian Airlines as their biggest challenger there, at the same time they will operate 19 weekly flights onboard their E95.
In addition to more frequencies they will also have more capacity on the route since the E95 has roughly 50 more seats than the ATR.
Despite March being a month when demand starts to pick up, it's still a relatively slow month. Launching BUD with so many weekly frequencies was always an overly ambitious plan.
I always believed they rushed with BUD. It's a difficult market where they will have to face a lot of well-established carriers - both LCC and legacy.
They are still not fully established in key markets like ATH, IST, OTP, SOF and so on. Consolidate what you already have and only then go on adventures such as BUD.
They have been flying to Sofia for ages now yet the route still struggles to accumulate any meaningful volume. Why not invest in marketing there so that you can efficiently operate double daily flights the whole year. Same with Bucharest or even Athens. Why not test the waters with morning and evening departures to these cities? In stead of having BUD at 07.45, try Sofia, Bucharest or even Athens. In summer Aegean is rolling out a revised schedule for ATH-BEG and it will be very convenient for O&D travelers. This is what JU did with IST and LCA and I believe the market responded quite favorably.
In my personal opinion, they are wasting valuable resources on Budapest when there are so many other markets where these funds could and would have a better ROI.
Austrian Airlines is successful in Budapest because they have a spectacular European network where all key markets have 2 to 3 daily flights (if not more). Once JU has the same then they could and should compare themselves to OS. They should have avoided this scenario because all eyes were focused on their BUD route. Since they decided to go ahead with it, then more should have been done to make sure this scenario is avoided.
BUD will no doubt have over a million passengers in March. JU put around 5.740 seats on the market during that month. If they expected to have a LF of 50% then that would mean carrying a total of 2.870 passengers securing a marketshare of around 0.3%.
Like I already wrote months ago, their biggest challenge will be to convince passengers to book flights with them and not with OS, LH, LO... obviously something went wrong.
+10000
DeleteNajjeftinije karte su rasprodate a na većini letova cena je 70-80e po smeru. Izgleda da prodaja i ne ide tako loše s obzirom da je Mart poprilično spor mesec.
DeleteНе заборавимо да цену диктира попуњеност. Путници са отказаних летова су највероватније пребачени на ове што нису опстали.
DeleteПримера ради, у другој недељи уопште нема лета уторком. Дакле повезаност два града неће бити на свакодневном нивоу.
Верујем да ће се ситуација побољшати од априла када генерално има више потражње. Тако ће се у Будимпешти на JU прелити вишак путника са конкуренције.
'пребачени на ове што нису опстали'
DeleteГрешка, требало би да буде на ове што су опстали.
Da, krenuli su malo preambiciozno sa 17 nedeljnih letova u Martu.
DeleteThe solution to accessing the 10 million plus Hungarian market is not to abandon it but to put an effort in it.
DeleteJU starts from a disadvantaged position. If they prove a reliable option and the connecting experience in BEG is good they will gain part of the traffic that now goes through VIE and FRA.
You don't go into a battle unprepared. You need to be fully aware who you are going up against. The planning phase might have worked fine but execution not so much. This is where you need a strong, well-run and efficient commercial department. They are the ones that need to come up with a strategy on how to establish, consolidate and develop a certain market.
DeleteAir Serbia still needs to work on developing its core network. Once they do this adding destinations such as BUD will become much easier.
They need to do what Aegean did years before. Take two, three large European markets and focus on them. They started with Italy and Spain and today they have a very solid presence there despite facing a tremendous amount of competition. However, they are an airline that has a fantastic commercial strategy, unlike JU.
+1
DeleteJU needs to first get more planes AND aircrews. Improve the company culture and the working conditions for its workforce. Moran is not the best to put it mildly.
DeleteThen they can expand.
Because as things stand right now they will have trouble flying all the already announced flying schedule.
Expensive wet leases from Bulgaria and others will be needed.
Yes I also saw that Instagram ad with the Bulgarian leases. Interesting how Dan Air was supposed to stay for the summer yet they are still here, flying for JU.
DeleteHopefully they sort out the underlying issues as the summer season is just around the corner. Their competition, starting with Wizz Air, is ready and have adapted to increased demand.
Nemjee, Sofia close to Beograd and many people use car. I would say that they might succeed with the Varna route. In SOF OS also generally reduced their daily rotations. Ryanair are becoming slowly and quietly quite agressive not only in SOF but now in VAR, BOJ and PDV. They already kicked off Wizzair on certain routes. Mind you Paphos will be increased to 4 weekly this summer.
DeleteAs for JU, I don't see them working with local tour operators to promote the rest of ex-Yu and very importantly Chicago which similar to Serbia is home to the largest Bulgarian diaspora. Connections from SOF and VAR are not usually optimal but they can promote a 12 hour visit to encourage visiting BEG.
Even though Sofia is not so far from Belgrade, those traveling for weekend fun would rather fly, naturally as long as fares are reasonable. Let's say if they had a Friday afternoon flight then someone from Sofia could be in Belgrade in 40 minutes in stead of driving for 4 hours.
DeleteA morning flight would also allow for better and smoother connections from the rest of their network.
I think you nailed it in your second paragraph. This is where there is room for improvement and that is why I said that JU's commercial department needs to do a better job defining their commercial strategy. At times I feel as if flights are put on sale and then they expect them to fill themselves. They need to find a mechanism to create customer loyalty.
Do you know where FR defeated W6 in Sofia?
For sure, there are good tour operators in Bulgaria and only Croatia in ex-Yu is becoming a bit more popular during the last couple of years. But there is still a lot more such as Bosnia or Slovenia where connections via BEG are quite good.
DeleteFR are currently aggressively deploying their Maxes on W6 routes and in SOF won: BUD, MLA, BTS, recovered BHX and NUE, CFU and CHQ, They are attacking them on the BRI and BGY routes. However, they were unable to respond to TLV and BCN where W6 are quite strong. The new battlefield between FR and W6 is AGP ending the FB long monopoly on the route. Prices are currently quite high.
In BOJ, FR will operate 10 destinations even though W6 have a temporarily base there. They are attacking especially Warsaw and Polish airports. It is believed that FR have now surpassed W6 in terms of market share.
Do you see FR in BEG anytime soon?
Let's see if FB will cut AGP now that there is a price war between the two. They might end up as collateral damage.
DeleteBCN seems to be a really good market for Wizz. Makes you wonder if this is because people living there are getting used to them as opposed most sales being in the east. Their network out of Barcelona seems to be quite good.
Who would have thought that within a year and a half their BEG-BCN operation would grow from 3 weekly to 7!
W6 is well known in Spain to be the "Eastern European" specialist especially in BCN, VLC and ALC to the countries in the East. Plus, BCN-SOF has been operational for quite a time and the route has matured. I think the same will happen with BEG. Mind you, I heard Serbian speech during my last visit to BCN near the Sants Station. It also seems that JU is doing quite well on the BCN route. Next potential destination: LIS :D
DeletePersonally I'm happy both JU and W6 chased Vueling away, they were useless.
DeleteOne think I noticed at BEG is Romanian. I am certain more and more people from Banat are flying out of Belgrade. I also saw some Romanian buses.
Introducing those ex charters as new scheduled service was primarily driven to get discount on airport taxes. Everything else is the same, most of the seats are sold to the agencies and they are counting stealing with fuel taxes.
ReplyDeleteThat is smart thinking on their part.
DeleteYes, but bad for passengers, competition, fares, costumer relationships...
Delete@12,03
DeleteHow exactly is it bad? Previously it was not possible to book a direct flight, for example to CFU, as it was exclusively sold through tour agencies who secured the chartered flight and flights were only through a package.
- Now the agencies don't have to book out an entire aircraft (less risk for the agency if they can't sell 144 seats, which does happen).
- Unused capacity can be sold to regular pax (now pax can book the air fare and accomodation separate if they want to, which means more choices).
- Unused capacity can be used for transit pax, which means they boost loads on the JU network. The more pax the more of the possibility that frequencies on other JU routes are increased, which again is great for our market as we get more options for travel.
- All charter routes that have moved to regular routes are in the EU, which means that any EU carrier could launch the exact same route. If anything, competition (read Wizz) tends to follow JU when they see there is decent demand (ie HAM, BER, MXP/BGY, FCO, BCN, LCA, CPH, GOT, MLA, NCE, NYO/ARN, CDG/BVA). Increased competition = lower fares.
This is definitely a win win for both the airline and for passengers, while lowering the risk for agencies and extending the travel season to all charter destinations that have now become seasonal scheduled routes, which until now started late and ended early. Not to mention that there are frequency increases on all routes = more choice for travellers.
Probably not as high as Paris, but BUD-BEY has high demand too. However, it's just question of time an LCC will fly BUD-BEY.
ReplyDeleteW6 and FR already fly BUD-TLV.
DeleteDoes anyone have information about what is happening with Uzice Ponikve, there were reports that ATR72s will also be able to land there?
ReplyDeleteNothing. The runway needs to be resurfaced. An environmental impact study is currently taking place.
DeleteI think that the next expansion that will be announced will be the long haul one.
ReplyDeleteI think that next they will be introducing Baku,
ReplyDeleteBratislava should be considered too.
DeleteBratislava does not really fit the description of introducing services with longer flight times in Europe.
DeleteExciting years ahead.
ReplyDeleteHappy to see Cairo returning to the network. Anyone know how sales are performing?
ReplyDeleteWell done Air Serbia. Really looking forward to their development this year.
ReplyDeleteWill AirSerbia ever open more destinations from Nis and Kraljevo?
ReplyDeleteYes, they opened one from Nis 3 months ago and it had poor sales. Also, it has been less than a year since they started 8 routes from Nis ans 3 from Kraljevo.
Delete+1
DeleteDont count seasonal flights! Nis and Kraljevo need more destinations. They can easily have about 1m passengers and not harm Vinci’s contract with BEG airport
DeleteGood to see them optimistic aboud BUD, but it is a huge P2P market and even if frequencies are low, it still has many connections to many destinations. Also P2P passengers usually tend to avoid transfers. We will see how the route develops.
ReplyDeleteSure its market with many direct routes and also hungarians are not very rich. Demand in BUD is from abroad. They could add some slovakian airport as it was mentioned here Bratislava or Kosice which are reachable from Hungary as well. Salaries in Slovakia are much higher then in Hungary and also hungarian forint is falling down like a comet.
DeleteGuys first let them fix their fleet. They are again moving flights around because not enough operational planes. Marek dreams of some big expansion but with what planes?!
DeleteWith that schedule they need probably 5 more airbuses plus 2 more ATR.
DeleteWhen can we expect the summer schedule update?
ReplyDelete"Our growth prioritises routes with higher point-to-point demand”
ReplyDeleteToronto passengers: hold my beer
Still holding my breath.
DeleteNis and Kraljevo will grow on their own given some time. Especially Nis which is undergoing renovations and can handle large aircraft.
ReplyDeleteBez Nove piste i Kargo Centra Aerodrom Morava nemoze primati mlazni saobracaj. Ostaje potpuni teret
Deletebudzetu Vlade Srbije. Sa jedne strane piste je vojni, a sa suprotne je civilni aerodrom. Porez izdrzava obe organizacije. A civilni deo bi mogao da izdrzava sam sebe pod uslovom da se razvija kargo saobracaj.
Uz koncesiju velikoj kargo kompaniji Aerodrom Morava Kraljevo bi zaradjivala da izdrzava sebe.
Vise od toga. Sadasnja vlast nije odgovorna zbog
Konverzije u vojno civilni. Ali je odgovorna sto prolongira agoniju i stvara perspektivu ove nove za sada neostvarene vazdusne luke u centru Srbije.
Beogradski aerodrom jeste blizu. Ali razvoj Srbije omogucava samoodrzivost bar Niski aerodrom i Kraljevacku Moravu u sastavu Aerodromi Srbije.
Dva, tri ATR-a nemogu izdrzavati ni Moravu ni Ibar.
Na kraju krajeva kako kaze narodna poslovica:
"Rodilo se valja ga ljuljati." Drugog uspesnog leka nema. Nadajmo se da ce u ovoj godini se resiti buducnost ove luke, deceniju ipo dugu sagu.
Avio saobracaj i aerodromi Srbije trebaju se razvijati i rasti komplimentarno. A ne da bude "svaka vaska obaska". Ozbiljan razvoj i investicije jeste razlog razvoja putne, zeleznicke, i recne mreze.
Bez mreze aerodroma Srbije uklapanja u realnu buducnost nije realno.
Rodney Marinkovic and Aviation Enthusiast Associate Group ✈🇷🇸🛫🌐✈
Toronto?
ReplyDeleteBeirut. We have passangers but we cannot transfer them. Cock and bull story. Air Serbia needs presence in the Middle East. Lyon and Marseille could be used nicely. Marek is not brave enough.
ReplyDeleteLeisure routes became seasonal, quite true. We have to see how Palermo is doing, as well as Varna which has four flights weekly.
To strenghten Europe, but where, I think Leipzig will do, maybe Bilbao, Bordeaux, Graz, Brno, Karlovy Vary. Longer routes: Baku. Regional: Maribor. Budapest is a must route and we have to watch and wait for results.