Air Serbia is expecting another profitable year despite softening passenger demand in the second half of 2025. The carrier’s CEO, Jiri Marek, told EX-YU Aviation News, “During the first six months, we recorded passenger growth of around 8%, however, traffic stagnated over the summer and this trend continued through the remainder of the year. It is still too early to draw firm conclusions about the underlying causes. Aside from a roughly 15% decline in charter passengers, the rest of the business is performing well”.
Commenting on the coming year, Mr Marek noted, “It is also premature to speculate about what next year will bring. The impact has been felt primarily in our home market. The question remains whether people in Serbia travelled less overall, or whether this was influenced by broader factors such as geopolitical developments, including reduced demand for Egypt due to the situation in the region, as well as higher prices in destinations such as Turkey. There are several elements at play”.
On the financial side, the carrier is performing better than it initially forecast. Mr Marek said, “Overall, we expect to close the year with passenger growth of between 3% and 4%. From a financial perspective, the year will certainly be profitable, although we do not yet know the final result. Performance is better than originally budgeted. That said, cost pressures that emerged from June onwards require careful management. This is something we have also observed across the industry, as third-quarter results from multiple airlines have shown a decline in profitability. While our revenue performance has been very strong, costs remain an area where additional efficiencies are needed”.

Air Serbia may be hitting a ceiling in its home market.
ReplyDeleteThe political crisis is not helping at all in attracting incoming tourism.
DeleteTravel demand is also slowing in Western Europe, which is where the majority of Air Serbia's traffic is concentrated.
DeleteAre you really looking to boost incoming tourists when your new destinations are Tenerife, Tromso and Santorini, plus waiting for Ibiza?
Delete^ They are adding those because that is where they are performing well through both transfers and point to point (ie leisure routes). They operate more than enough flights to markets from where Serbia can get inbound tourism. Unfortunately, the Tourism Organisation of Serbia and the Tourism Organisation of Belgrade are some of the most unprofessional organisations in the country which the party fills with people they don't know where to put.
DeleteThere are other organisations and groupings in the country i can think of that would win the title 'unprofessional of the year'.
DeleteThese two are definitely up there.
DeleteJU should increase flying to Middle East, the Caucasus, China and definitely look into India.
DeleteHuge incoming visitor potential and a lot of transfer traffic for tis network to Europe and north America.
Simply launching flights somewhere does not bring tourists. Most people in the regions and countries you mentioned have not even heard of Serbia.
Delete@10:03 you realsie Indians need a visa? And have more than enough options for transfers. JU would sink like a stone on routes to India.
DeleteVisa rules can be relaxed, the Tourism board can advertise the country.
DeleteWaiting for customers to come to you while you seat and wait is the OU strategy.
Serbia has reintroduced visas for many countries in the last 1-2 years on request from the EU. India was one of them. So they will not be relaxing visas.
Delete@10:29 India is not on the cards for JU mate.
DeleteIndia is currently largest work force exporter in the world. So flying there can’t be wrong at all. Interestingly, Aegian first long haul will be to India. Doest that ring any bell?
DeleteTry to look up how many Indians live in Greece. And you have already started this same topic many times in the last few months. Give it a break.
DeleteWith XLRs, Aegean can not fly to either China or US. So other than Africa, India is the only market that can make sense for them.
DeleteIndians are living all around the world, not only Greece. In USA, they are replacing Chinese labor force. Even new movies are repesenting them as a diverity, instead of Asians. So yes, they travel a lot pretty much. If you are in a transportation business, you should use the opportunity
Delete@09:03
DeleteI wouldn't agree. There are areas where JU can comfortably grow such as inter regional (Balkan) connectivity. ATH next summer for example will be interesting to watch as those new frequencies are well timed to connect onto a number of regional points such as OTP, SOF, SJJ, SPU, DBV etc. not to mention that ATH will now be better connected to JU's long haul network. Same could also be done with OTP.
We need to open Nepal route and transfer them to Croatia. Big untaped source of travelers. Why they need to backtrack to Vrankvurt and change 3 times when can do it in one airplane change.
Delete@11:29 ATH and OTP are increased, but SOF decreased to seven weekly next summer, SJJ still remains seven weekly...
Delete@11 18 You don’t order XLR without previously determined how to use it. They ordered with plan to fly to India
Delete@11:34 yeah right...
Delete@12:35
DeleteI don't think you read my comment properly. OTP increase isn't in the same manner as ATH which will have early morning and early evening departures. ATH with the new increases will now have quite a number of new connecting options around the region which wasn't there previously. My point was that I think JU has quite a bit of room for growth in this area, with OTP being a good candidate as well for morning/evening departures just like the new ATH additions.
@11.34
DeleteThey don't have to make 3 changes and backtrack to Vrankvurt. They can go from Zagreb multiple times daily with one change in Istanbul Doha or Dubai, with acceptable prices. Don't think even OU, if by some miracle pulled out of lethargy, could have had enough space for Kathmandu introduction. Via Delhi, in codeshare, yes, but flights to Nepal from either BEG or ZAG are not viable and not serious option to think about
Serbia’s outbound market is still relatively shallow. Without stronger inbound tourism or more transfer traffic, growth will inevitably slow.
ReplyDeleteTrue, the country needs to make itself a lot more attractive to foreign visitors.
DeleteBelgrade has to become a much busier city brake destination than it currently is.
+1
DeleteAir Serbia has grown very fast in a short time. A pause or slowdown was inevitable at some point.
ReplyDeleteJU had large growth in 2022 and 2023. 2024 and 2025 was their slowdown with 2025 even having 2 months of a drop in pax numbers but overall a small pax increase. It would be nice to see 2026 be another year of larger growth pushing pax numbers well over 5 million.
DeleteThat would make sense, regarding EXPO is coming. But it’s not gonna happen, seeing new routes and new frequencies for the summer
DeleteThe next big challenge will be finding new growth drivers
ReplyDeleteInbound tourism has the highest potential for growth because it is currently too low for a European capital.
Deletethis is a sign the airline should further rebalance towards scheduled and transfer traffic and away from charters.
ReplyDeleteThat is what they have been doing.
DeleteThe question is how profitable trabsfer flows really are.
DeleteCharters for sure are profitable. Connections it greatly depends.
Delete*transfer
DeleteTransfers are loss making.
DeleteLOL no transfers are not loss making. Some people on here.
DeleteSome transfers are, some aren't.
DeleteBut in general transfers are less profitable than direct flights.
Slowing demand should be a warning sign
ReplyDeleteThe airline has matured a lot but the easy growth years are clearly behind it now.
ReplyDeleteStrong revenue performance suggests the network is well designed even if growth is slowing.
ReplyDeleteIt is a global slow down, especially in the Western countries. JU is preferming well since they are contine generating the growth and profit.
DeleteThat is simply not true.
DeleteEXPO should bring millions of foreign visitors. JU should be prepared to greatly increase capacity.
ReplyDeleteI can's believe you actually buy that. It may bring visitors but millions of international visitors travelling by plane? Definitely not.
DeleteWhy not? Look how many people have visited other EXPOs that were held in Europe.
DeleteThis is a specialized smaller expo, not the main event you are referring to.
DeleteIt's true that the awarness of Serbia organising any Expo is super low outside of the region. At the same time, there is still time to promote it. It's up to the organisers and authorities to make it a big thing. On social media, in the TV (CNNs of this world) etc...
DeleteThe EXPO A330s are raising awareness a lot in US and China.
Delete@09:15 yeah right...
Delete@9:35 I imagine that was sarcasm...
DeleteI am sorry but Marek can't blame anyone else but himself and the management. BEG is growing so demand is there, it's just flying with their competition.
ReplyDeleteI think their growth is slowing down because of W6 which is turbo expanding.
People are simply not choosing JU, that's all.
+1
DeleteBEG's growth is hardly big.
DeleteBEG's growth is twice as big as JU's.
DeleteJU's growth is 3.5% and BEG's 6% so it's not exactly twice as big but it means that competition isn't doing much of the growth driving either.
DeleteBEG growth through November is 6.3%.
Deletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2025/12/belgrade-airport-registers-busiest.html
After Q1 it has been growing by a lot more than that.
In fact over the last 6 months BEG's growth is way more than double JU's.
And yes, other airlines are growing. Especially Wizz.
Wizz is growing because it has cut traffic significantly the previous year. Some of you have goldfish memories.
DeleteWizz had a record 2025 traffic wise and 2026 is going to be even bigger. Some of you live in denial.
DeleteThey cut significantly at a number of bases in 2024 and Belgrade was one of them. It is well documented here so I don't know what you are trying to prove.
DeleteLike I wrote below, Air Serbia's passenger growth outpaced their capacity growth. So the "people simply not choosing JU" theory does not work.
DeleteWizz 2025 traffic numbers in BEG are the highest in their history.
DeleteAnd it looks like 2026 will be 1/3 higher than that.
Stop arguing with reality.
^ You are arguing with yourself, unable to read what is being written since you seem to be in a trans. Wizz Air significantly cut capacity in Belgrade in 2024 and Q1 2025. I would love to see your Wizz Air Belgrade passenger figures, since you seem to be in possession of them. Again, take a very deep breath and calm down.
DeleteWizz can not grow any more without basing another aircraft at BEG. And that is not on the table for now. So numbers may be around 2024, not more, not less
DeleteWizz can grow without basing another ac in BEG. Simply by flying here with aircraft from other bases.
DeleteSurely, but no announcement for summer timetable, so it won’t happen, unfortunately. Only outbased flights are from Lutton, if I am not wrong
DeleteHas W6 announced its full 2026 summer timetable?
DeleteIf JU is growing 3% and the airport 6% since JU accounts for roughly for 50% of airport traffick, it means the other airlines grew by 12% in total - 4 times more than JU.
DeleteApologies 9% - 3 times more
DeleteWow that's impressive
DeleteYeah your maths does not really add up.
DeleteWizz's massive capacity increase got to affect JU pax numbers.
ReplyDeleteThey are increasing Q1 2026 capacity by one third compared with Q1 2025!
DeleteThat is going to hurt ASL for sure.
Most Wizz destinations from Belgrade are to same or nearby airports where Air Serbia operates.
DeleteYes and that is a problem for JU.
DeleteBut it is very good for travelers as it keeps both airlines honest in their pricing.
@09:51 That’s the main issue. In my opinion such markets will have from 2026 many excess seats that both carriers won’t sell in the end.
DeleteMany frequency increases are not justified because of extra demand but rather seem like positioning and fighting of two main BEG carriers, similar situation as with GVA this year. For example, on top of JU’s service to BLQ or FLR, Wizz launches Pisa?
Exactly, JU grew when W6 cut BEG. Now they are back and JU is struggling. Numbers are BEG are growing in H2 but not so much at JU. Marek should ask himself why they are going with their competition
DeleteWizz Air was also there when JU grew from 45 to 90 destinations. So your theory does not really work.
DeleteFlying 2w from May to September with an E-jet to a beach destination is very different from actually flying year round somewhere with a 238 seat A321.
DeleteJU has far more growth than just 2 pw to a beach destination on an E-jet.
DeleteWhen I think that for +/- the same money I will almost never take off on time and will sit in a depilated cabin and dirty plane, I just don' t feel like flying them and giving them my business. Many more think the same so there you go as to why the growth is slow, i.e. many repeat passengers are just not coming back.
ReplyDelete@9:37 You said in 2022 when summer delays happened, that passengers would not return in 2023 but they did, so you were wrong then and you are wrong now.
Delete@09:48
DeleteHow do you know which specific anonymous commenter is that???
I've found JU to be very reliable. I use them mostly in the region and i cant really fault both their timings and offerings for regional flights. This year i used them to Madrid and the aircraft was a Getjet old bird but it was half empty and very reasonable so i cant really complain. Its a fair airline overall providing the connections the region needs.
Delete@9:54 we all know.
DeleteTheir passenger growth outpaced their capacity growth so your theory does not really work @9.37.
DeleteIncreasing load factors by flying less while getting more aircraft and having low utilization of them is not a long term strategy for success.
Delete09:37 clearly doesnt really know they are on about. For a medium sized European airline from a country towards the bottom of wealth tables JU actually do a good service. Certainly they provide a vital regional connectivity that could never be matched by low cost airlines or other regional carriers.
Delete@9:37 I am a passenger frequently on JU flights and saying that cabins are dirty is not true or at least exaggerated. There are worn off planes of course, but that is a different thing and I do not see it as a problem for <3h flights. I am glad to see that they keep the profitability while expanding the network both in terms of new destinations and increasing density on the existing ones. More airlines flying to BEG and stronger competition is very welcome for the benefit of us passengers. Best wishes to JU in 2026 and beyond.
DeleteBest wishes and positive energy won't make travelers choose JU over W6 when 9 times out of 10 JU is more expensive.
DeleteWizz Air is an ultra low cost airline. It is supposed to be cheaper. Also considering the number of destinations and markets JU has beat W6 in direct competition, your comment does not reflect reality.
DeleteThe reality is that JU is now stagnating while W6 has more or less left behind its engine troubles and is increasing capacity in BEG by 33% vs Q12025.
DeleteIgnoring reality won't change it.
I don't know, would launching Munich 1-2 daily be so revolutionary? Joining alliance? Insisting on Belgrade/Serbia tourism campaigns abroad? Looking deeply into very close markets like Romania? Looking even more deeply into high performing markets like Middle East?
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteEmbraers are the ideal aircraft for JU to both launch again Middle East destinations like TLV, CAI, BEY and also densify its European network. MUC is also long overdue.
DeleteExcuses as always
ReplyDelete+1000
DeleteWhat are you talking about? They are still doing fine and growing, slower growth or rapid growth are both growth.
DeleteGrowing slower than market (or falling faster than market) is the problem. That being said, it is still too early to say JU is lagging behind competitors in BEG, one year is a time to check the market share...
DeleteIf only I could read for OU about profitability, exponential growth, market share and LF that JU has. So all of you criticizing, which I do understand as you probably wish even better and even more, you should be actually very happy to have JU as it is, especially with all limitations that the country and the market have. And Mr. Marek, hat off and deep bow!
ReplyDelete